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Prediction dossier

Shimizu vs Gamba Osaka

J1 League

SH Shimizu Home
Your timezone
GA Gamba Osaka Away
Fixture data & provenance
Competition J1 League
Status Scheduled
Source bucket Today
ISO kick-off 2026-10-17T04:00:00Z
Snapshot updated Official snapshot

Evidence model

Match analysis

Probabilities are an informational model estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice.

Pre-match forecast Shimizu Evidence-adjusted · Evidence strength: Moderate

A normalized informational view of the strongest available pre-match evidence.

Refreshable preview · computed
Exact 100% normalized Home / Draw / Away distribution
  1. 01Verified full-time 1X21 eligible quote; independent source count unknown
  2. 02Margin normalizedImplied shares rescaled to exactly 100%
  3. 03Optional evidence layerVenue form / H2H adjusted the odds-implied base

Venue form used by the model

Shimizu Home venue only - 5 samples 2W 1D 2L 4 scored / 4 conceded

Gamba Osaka Away venue only - 5 samples 0W 2D 3L 4 scored / 10 conceded

Head to head

Evidence stack

  • Odds-implied match-result signal removes the quoted margin and renormalizes Home / Draw / Away to 100%.
  • Venue form uses 5 home and 5 away samples.
  • Head-to-head uses 10 dated meetings.

Data coverage

1 eligible odds quote · Moderate evidence
20 verified historical rows.

Analysis cache refreshed from verified inputs.

Recent results

Shimizu W Mito 2-1 W Chiba 2-1 W Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 L Kawasaki Frontale 1-3 D FC Tokyo 1-1
Gamba Osaka L Kashima Antlers 0-2 L Vissel Kobe 0-1 L FC Tokyo 0-2 L Chiba 0-2 D V-Varen Nagasaki 2-2

Venue goal trend

Signal contribution

Odds-implied match-result signal 68% active weight

H 32 D 42 A 26

Venue form 17% active weight

H 55 D 25 A 20

Head to head 10% active weight

H 23 D 31 A 46

Goal trend 5% active weight

H 64 D 19 A 17

Forecast audit Read-only evidence timeline

Immutable forecast audit

What the model knew — and when

  1. 01Inputs capturedVerified evidence was stored with the forecast.
  2. 02Preview captured2026-10-17T01:05:09.971Z / 2026-10-15.1
  3. 03Match startedScheduled for 2026-10-17T04:00:00Z
  4. 04Final result recordedPending match completion

Refreshable pre-match previewThis preview may refresh as verified inputs change before kick-off.

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