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Prediction dossier

Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs

National League

WE Wellington Olympic Home
Your timezone
EA Eastern Suburbs Away
Fixture data & provenance
Competition National League
Status Scheduled
Source bucket Today
ISO kick-off 2026-10-17T02:00:00Z
Snapshot updated Official snapshot

Evidence model

Match analysis

Probabilities are an informational model estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice.

Pre-match forecast Draw Evidence-adjusted · Evidence strength: Limited

A normalized informational view of the strongest available pre-match evidence.

Refreshable preview · computed
Exact 100% normalized Home / Draw / Away distribution
  1. 01Verified full-time 1X21 eligible quote; independent source count unknown
  2. 02Margin normalizedImplied shares rescaled to exactly 100%
  3. 03Optional evidence layerVenue form / H2H adjusted the odds-implied base

Venue form used by the model

Wellington Olympic Home venue only - 1 samples 0W 0D 1L 1 scored / 2 conceded

Eastern Suburbs Away venue only - 0 samples 0W 0D 0L 0 scored / 0 conceded

Head to head

Evidence stack

  • Odds-implied match-result signal removes the quoted margin and renormalizes Home / Draw / Away to 100%.
  • Head-to-head uses 4 dated meetings.

Data coverage

1 eligible odds quote · Limited evidence
5 verified historical rows.

Analysis cache refreshed from verified inputs.

Recent results

Wellington Olympic D Auckland City 2-2 L Ferrymead Bays 1-2 W Auckland FC 2 3-2
Eastern Suburbs L Auckland City 2-4

Venue goal trend

Signal contribution

Odds-implied match-result signal 88% active weight

H 31 D 37 A 32

Head to head 12% active weight

H 43 D 29 A 28

Forecast audit Read-only evidence timeline

Immutable forecast audit

What the model knew — and when

  1. 01Inputs capturedVerified evidence was stored with the forecast.
  2. 02Preview captured2026-10-17T01:10:20.998Z / 2026-10-15.1
  3. 03Match startedScheduled for 2026-10-17T02:00:00Z
  4. 04Final result recordedPending match completion

Refreshable pre-match previewThis preview may refresh as verified inputs change before kick-off.

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