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Prediction dossier

Guadalupe vs Cariari Pococi

Liga De Ascenso

GU Guadalupe Home
Your timezone
CA Cariari Pococi Away
Fixture data & provenance
Competition Liga De Ascenso
Status Official fixture
Source bucket Today
ISO kick-off 2026-10-17T01:00:00Z
Snapshot updated Official snapshot

Evidence model

Match analysis

Probabilities are an informational model estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice.

Locked pre-match forecast Draw Evidence-adjusted · Evidence strength: Moderate

A normalized informational view of the strongest available pre-match evidence.

Locked snapshot · computed
Exact 100% normalized Home / Draw / Away distribution
  1. 01Verified full-time 1X21 eligible quote; independent source count unknown
  2. 02Margin normalizedImplied shares rescaled to exactly 100%
  3. 03Optional evidence layerVenue form / H2H adjusted the odds-implied base

Venue form used by the model

Guadalupe Home venue only - 5 samples 0W 1D 4L 2 scored / 9 conceded

Cariari Pococi Away venue only - 5 samples 2W 1D 2L 3 scored / 3 conceded

Head to head

Evidence stack

  • Odds-implied match-result signal removes the quoted margin and renormalizes Home / Draw / Away to 100%.
  • Venue form uses 5 home and 5 away samples.
  • Head-to-head uses 10 dated meetings.

Data coverage

1 eligible odds quote · Moderate evidence
20 verified historical rows.

Analysis cache refreshed from verified inputs.

Recent results

Guadalupe W Carmelita 2-0 W Ad Aserri 3-2 D Pitbulls 2-2 L FC Moravia 0-3 L Santa Ana 1-2
Cariari Pococi W FC Moravia 1-0 L Santa Ana 0-1 L Santa Ana 1-2 D CS Uruguay 1-1 W Pitbulls 2-1

Venue goal trend

Signal contribution

Odds-implied match-result signal 68% active weight

H 37 D 40 A 23

Venue form 17% active weight

H 18 D 23 A 59

Head to head 10% active weight

H 38 D 31 A 31

Goal trend 5% active weight

H 15 D 17 A 68

Forecast audit Read-only evidence timeline

Immutable forecast audit

What the model knew — and when

  1. 01Inputs capturedVerified evidence was stored with the forecast.
  2. 02Snapshot locked2026-10-17T00:32:36.129Z / 2026-10-15.1
  3. 03Match started2026-10-17T01:00:00Z
  4. 04Final result recordedThe source has not supplied a validated final score.

Locked pre-match snapshotThis snapshot is read-only and is never recomputed after kick-off.

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