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Prediction dossier

Septemvri Sofia vs Lok. Sofia

Efbet League

SE Septemvri Sofia Home
Your timezone
LO Lok. Sofia Away
Fixture data & provenance
Competition Efbet League
Status Scheduled
Source bucket Today
ISO kick-off 2026-11-06T15:00:00Z
Snapshot updated Official snapshot

Evidence model

Match analysis

Probabilities are an informational model estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice.

Pre-match forecast Lok. Sofia Evidence-adjusted · Evidence strength: Moderate

A normalized informational view of the strongest available pre-match evidence.

Refreshable preview · computed
Exact 100% normalized Home / Draw / Away distribution
  1. 01Verified full-time 1X21 eligible quote; independent source count unknown
  2. 02Margin normalizedImplied shares rescaled to exactly 100%
  3. 03Optional evidence layerVenue form / H2H adjusted the odds-implied base

Venue form used by the model

Septemvri Sofia Home venue only - 6 samples 1W 1D 4L 6 scored / 13 conceded

Lok. Sofia Away venue only - 6 samples 1W 4D 1L 8 scored / 9 conceded

Head to head

Evidence stack

  • Odds-implied match-result signal removes the quoted margin and renormalizes Home / Draw / Away to 100%.
  • Venue form uses 6 home and 6 away samples.
  • Head-to-head uses 10 dated meetings.

Data coverage

1 eligible odds quote · Moderate evidence
22 verified historical rows.

Analysis cache refreshed from verified inputs.

Recent results

Septemvri Sofia L Arda 1-2 L Cherno More 0-2 L Dunav Ruse 2-3 L Botev Plovdiv 0-3 L Ludogorets 1-2
Lok. Sofia L Botev Plovdiv 2-5 D Botev Vratsa 1-1 D Lok. Plovdiv 1-1 W Spartak Varna 1-0 L CSKA Sofia 0-2

Venue goal trend

Signal contribution

Odds-implied match-result signal 68% active weight

H 25 D 41 A 34

Venue form 17% active weight

H 27 D 29 A 44

Head to head 10% active weight

H 23 D 31 A 46

Goal trend 5% active weight

H 20 D 22 A 58

Forecast audit Read-only evidence timeline

Immutable forecast audit

What the model knew — and when

  1. 01Inputs capturedVerified evidence was stored with the forecast.
  2. 02Preview captured2026-11-06T13:58:03.632Z / 2026-10-15.1
  3. 03Match startedScheduled for 2026-11-06T15:00:00Z
  4. 04Final result recordedPending match completion

Refreshable pre-match previewThis preview may refresh as verified inputs change before kick-off.

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