Liga 1
AL
Alianza Lima
Home
Your timezone
AT
Atletico Grau
Away
Live fixture
Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau
AL
Alianza Lima
Home
AT
Atletico Grau
Away
Evidence model
Match analysis
Probabilities are an informational model estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice.
Live estimate
Alianza Lima
Evidence-adjusted · Evidence strength: Moderate
Reflects the latest available full-time 1X2 signal during play. It can change as the match develops.
Live signal · refreshes about every 30 seconds · computedMost likely81%Alianza Lima
Exact 100% normalized Home / Draw / Away distribution
- 01Verified full-time 1X21 eligible quote; independent source count unknown
- 02Margin normalizedImplied shares rescaled to exactly 100%
- 03Optional evidence layerVenue form / H2H adjusted the odds-implied base
Venue form used by the model
Alianza Lima Home venue only - 10 samples 7W 1D 2L 23 scored / 7 conceded
Atletico Grau Away venue only - 10 samples 2W 1D 7L 10 scored / 19 conceded
Head to head
7
Home wins
2
Draws
1
Away wins
Evidence stack
- Odds-implied match-result signal removes the quoted margin and renormalizes Home / Draw / Away to 100%.
- Venue form uses 10 home and 10 away samples.
- Head-to-head uses 10 dated meetings.
Data coverage
1 eligible odds quote · Moderate evidence
30 verified historical rows.
Analysis cache refreshed from verified inputs.
Recent results
Alianza Lima
W
Cusco
2-1
W
AD Tarma
2-0
L
U. de Deportes
1-2
D
Juan Pablo II
1-1
L
Deportivo Garcilaso
0-1
Atletico Grau
L
Sporting Cristal
1-3
W
Alianza Atl.
3-1
L
Deportivo Garcilaso
2-4
W
FBC Melgar
1-0
W
FC Cajamarca
3-1
Venue goal trend
Home scored
2.3
Home conceded
0.7
Away scored
1.0
Away conceded
1.9
Signal contribution
H 87 D 12 A 1
H 66 D 20 A 14
H 62 D 23 A 15
H 87 D 7 A 6
Forecast audit Read-only evidence timeline
Immutable forecast audit
What the model knew — and when
- 01Inputs capturedVerified evidence was stored with the forecast.
- 02Capture window closed2026-10-18T02:10:24.407Z / 2026-10-15.1
- 03Match started2026-10-18T01:30:00Z
- 04Final result recordedThe source has not supplied a validated final score.
Capture window closed · pre-match previewNo new computation is started in the final minute; this remains a pre-kickoff preview, not a locked snapshot.