Liga Mx
NE
Necaxa
Home
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AT
Atlas
Away
Prediction dossier
Necaxa vs Atlas
NE
Necaxa
Home
AT
Atlas
Away
Evidence model
Match analysis
Probabilities are an informational model estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice.
Locked pre-match forecast
Atlas
Evidence-adjusted · Evidence strength: Moderate
A normalized informational view of the strongest available pre-match evidence.
Locked snapshot · computedMost likely39%Atlas
Exact 100% normalized Home / Draw / Away distribution
- 01Verified full-time 1X21 eligible quote; independent source count unknown
- 02Margin normalizedImplied shares rescaled to exactly 100%
- 03Optional evidence layerVenue form / H2H adjusted the odds-implied base
Venue form used by the model
Necaxa Home venue only - 6 samples 2W 0D 4L 8 scored / 12 conceded
Atlas Away venue only - 5 samples 4W 0D 1L 11 scored / 9 conceded
Head to head
3
Home wins
3
Draws
4
Away wins
Evidence stack
- Odds-implied match-result signal removes the quoted margin and renormalizes Home / Draw / Away to 100%.
- Venue form uses 6 home and 5 away samples.
- Head-to-head uses 10 dated meetings.
Data coverage
1 eligible odds quote · Moderate evidence
21 verified historical rows.
Analysis cache refreshed from verified inputs.
Recent results
Necaxa
D
Pachuca
3-3
L
Club America
2-4
L
Atl. San Luis
1-3
L
Puebla
0-1
D
Tigres UANL
1-1
Atlas
D
Guadalajara Chivas
1-1
W
Club Tijuana
3-2
D
UNAM Pumas
1-1
L
Toluca
2-5
D
Atlante
1-1
Venue goal trend
Home scored
1.3
Home conceded
2.0
Away scored
2.2
Away conceded
1.8
Signal contribution
H 28 D 40 A 32
H 16 D 21 A 63
H 31 D 31 A 38
H 19 D 21 A 60
Forecast audit Read-only evidence timeline
Immutable forecast audit
What the model knew — and when
- 01Inputs capturedVerified evidence was stored with the forecast.
- 02Snapshot locked2026-10-17T00:33:43.894Z / 2026-10-15.1
- 03Match started2026-10-17T01:00:00Z
- 04Final result recordedThe source has not supplied a validated final score.
Locked pre-match snapshotThis snapshot is read-only and is never recomputed after kick-off.