Primera A
IN
Ind. Medellin
Home
Your timezone
ON
Once Caldas
Away
Live fixture
Ind. Medellin vs Once Caldas
IN
Ind. Medellin
Home
ON
Once Caldas
Away
Evidence model
Match analysis
Probabilities are an informational model estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice.
Live estimate
Once Caldas
Evidence-adjusted · Evidence strength: Moderate
Reflects the latest available full-time 1X2 signal during play. It can change as the match develops.
Live signal · refreshes about every 30 seconds · computedMost likely46%Once Caldas
Exact 100% normalized Home / Draw / Away distribution
- 01Verified full-time 1X21 eligible quote; independent source count unknown
- 02Margin normalizedImplied shares rescaled to exactly 100%
- 03Optional evidence layerVenue form / H2H adjusted the odds-implied base
Venue form used by the model
Ind. Medellin Home venue only - 10 samples 6W 1D 3L 14 scored / 10 conceded
Once Caldas Away venue only - 10 samples 1W 7D 2L 12 scored / 14 conceded
Head to head
4
Home wins
4
Draws
2
Away wins
Evidence stack
- Odds-implied match-result signal removes the quoted margin and renormalizes Home / Draw / Away to 100%.
- Venue form uses 10 home and 10 away samples.
- Head-to-head uses 10 dated meetings.
Data coverage
1 eligible odds quote · Moderate evidence
30 verified historical rows.
Analysis cache refreshed from verified inputs.
Recent results
Ind. Medellin
W
America De Cali
2-1
L
Santa Fe
0-1
D
Millonarios
2-2
L
Junior
0-2
W
Jaguares de Cordoba
2-1
Once Caldas
W
Llaneros
1-0
D
Inter Bogotá
1-1
L
Bucaramanga
1-3
L
Dep. Pasto
0-1
W
Deportes Tolima
1-0
Venue goal trend
Home scored
1.4
Home conceded
1.0
Away scored
1.2
Away conceded
1.4
Signal contribution
H 15 D 28 A 57
H 53 D 26 A 21
H 38 D 38 A 24
H 48 D 27 A 25
Forecast audit Read-only evidence timeline
Immutable forecast audit
What the model knew — and when
- 01Inputs capturedVerified evidence was stored with the forecast.
- 02Capture window closed2026-10-18T02:11:45.760Z / 2026-10-15.1
- 03Match started2026-10-18T01:10:00Z
- 04Final result recordedThe source has not supplied a validated final score.
Capture window closed · pre-match previewNo new computation is started in the final minute; this remains a pre-kickoff preview, not a locked snapshot.