Liga Mx
TO
Toluca
Home
Your timezone
AT
Atl. San Luis
Away
Live fixture
Toluca vs Atl. San Luis
TO
Toluca
Home
AT
Atl. San Luis
Away
Evidence model
Match analysis
Probabilities are an informational model estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice.
Live estimate
Toluca
Evidence-adjusted · Evidence strength: Moderate
Reflects the latest available full-time 1X2 signal during play. It can change as the match develops.
Live signal · refreshes about every 30 seconds · computedMost likely61%Toluca
Exact 100% normalized Home / Draw / Away distribution
- 01Verified full-time 1X21 eligible quote; independent source count unknown
- 02Margin normalizedImplied shares rescaled to exactly 100%
- 03Optional evidence layerVenue form / H2H adjusted the odds-implied base
Venue form used by the model
Toluca Home venue only - 5 samples 3W 0D 2L 15 scored / 8 conceded
Atl. San Luis Away venue only - 5 samples 2W 1D 2L 8 scored / 10 conceded
Head to head
7
Home wins
1
Draws
2
Away wins
Evidence stack
- Odds-implied match-result signal removes the quoted margin and renormalizes Home / Draw / Away to 100%.
- Venue form uses 5 home and 5 away samples.
- Head-to-head uses 10 dated meetings.
Data coverage
1 eligible odds quote · Moderate evidence
20 verified historical rows.
Analysis cache refreshed from verified inputs.
Recent results
Toluca
L
Tigres UANL
2-3
D
Cruz Azul
3-3
L
Santos Laguna
2-3
W
Puebla
1-0
W
Atlas
5-2
Atl. San Luis
L
Santos Laguna
1-2
W
UNAM Pumas
3-2
W
Necaxa
3-1
L
Club Leon
0-2
L
Guadalajara Chivas
0-3
Venue goal trend
Home scored
3.0
Home conceded
1.6
Away scored
1.6
Away conceded
2.0
Signal contribution
H 65 D 26 A 9
H 42 D 30 A 28
H 62 D 15 A 23
H 77 D 13 A 10
Forecast audit Read-only evidence timeline
Immutable forecast audit
What the model knew — and when
- 01Inputs capturedVerified evidence was stored with the forecast.
- 02Capture window closed2026-10-18T02:11:37.642Z / 2026-10-15.1
- 03Match started2026-10-18T01:00:00Z
- 04Final result recordedThe source has not supplied a validated final score.
Capture window closed · pre-match previewNo new computation is started in the final minute; this remains a pre-kickoff preview, not a locked snapshot.