Liga De Expansion Mx
CA
Cancun
Home
Your timezone
VE
Venados
Away
Live fixture
Cancun vs Venados
CA
Cancun
Home
VE
Venados
Away
Evidence model
Match analysis
Probabilities are an informational model estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice.
Live estimate
Cancun
Evidence-adjusted · Evidence strength: Moderate
Reflects the latest available full-time 1X2 signal during play. It can change as the match develops.
Live signal · refreshes about every 30 seconds · computedMost likely64%Cancun
Exact 100% normalized Home / Draw / Away distribution
- 01Verified full-time 1X21 eligible quote; independent source count unknown
- 02Margin normalizedImplied shares rescaled to exactly 100%
- 03Optional evidence layerVenue form / H2H adjusted the odds-implied base
Venue form used by the model
Cancun Home venue only - 6 samples 4W 0D 2L 13 scored / 4 conceded
Venados Away venue only - 6 samples 1W 1D 4L 9 scored / 16 conceded
Head to head
3
Home wins
1
Draws
6
Away wins
Evidence stack
- Odds-implied match-result signal removes the quoted margin and renormalizes Home / Draw / Away to 100%.
- Venue form uses 6 home and 6 away samples.
- Head-to-head uses 10 dated meetings.
Data coverage
1 eligible odds quote · Moderate evidence
22 verified historical rows.
Analysis cache refreshed from verified inputs.
Recent results
Cancun
D
Zacatecas Mineros
2-2
W
Tapatio
1-0
L
Tlaxcala
1-4
W
Alebrijes Oaxaca
3-0
D
Dorados de Sinaloa
1-1
Venados
D
Leones Negros
1-1
W
Atletico La Paz
2-1
W
Atl. Morelia
2-1
L
Piratas
1-2
W
Tepatitlan de Morelos
5-0
Venue goal trend
Home scored
2.2
Home conceded
0.7
Away scored
1.5
Away conceded
2.7
Signal contribution
H 68 D 22 A 10
H 62 D 21 A 17
H 31 D 15 A 54
H 89 D 6 A 5
Forecast audit Read-only evidence timeline
Immutable forecast audit
What the model knew — and when
- 01Inputs capturedVerified evidence was stored with the forecast.
- 02Capture window closed2026-10-18T02:09:54.015Z / 2026-10-15.1
- 03Match started2026-10-18T01:00:00Z
- 04Final result recordedThe source has not supplied a validated final score.
Capture window closed · pre-match previewNo new computation is started in the final minute; this remains a pre-kickoff preview, not a locked snapshot.