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Prediction dossier

Alacranes De Durango vs Tapatio

Liga De Expansion Mx

AL Alacranes De Durango Home
Your timezone
TA Tapatio Away
Fixture data & provenance
Competition Liga De Expansion Mx
Status Scheduled
Source bucket Today
ISO kick-off 2026-10-18T03:00:00Z
Snapshot updated Official snapshot

Evidence model

Match analysis

Probabilities are an informational model estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice.

Pre-match forecast Alacranes De Durango Evidence-adjusted · Evidence strength: Moderate

A normalized informational view of the strongest available pre-match evidence.

Refreshable preview · computed
Exact 100% normalized Home / Draw / Away distribution
  1. 01Verified full-time 1X21 eligible quote; independent source count unknown
  2. 02Margin normalizedImplied shares rescaled to exactly 100%
  3. 03Optional evidence layerVenue form / H2H adjusted the odds-implied base

Venue form used by the model

Alacranes De Durango Home venue only - 5 samples 2W 1D 2L 8 scored / 8 conceded

Tapatio Away venue only - 5 samples 1W 1D 3L 7 scored / 10 conceded

Head to head

Evidence stack

  • Odds-implied match-result signal removes the quoted margin and renormalizes Home / Draw / Away to 100%.
  • Venue form uses 5 home and 5 away samples.
  • Head-to-head uses 4 dated meetings.

Data coverage

1 eligible odds quote · Moderate evidence
14 verified historical rows.

Analysis cache refreshed from verified inputs.

Recent results

Alacranes De Durango W Zacatecas Mineros 4-2 W Dorados de Sinaloa 1-0 W Cruz Azul Hidalgo 2-0 L Alebrijes Oaxaca 0-1 D Tlaxcala 1-1
Tapatio W Tepatitlan de Morelos 4-1 L Atletico La Paz 2-4 L Cancun 0-1 W Tlaxcala 4-0 L Dorados de Sinaloa 1-3

Venue goal trend

Signal contribution

Odds-implied match-result signal 68% active weight

H 41 D 39 A 20

Venue form 17% active weight

H 46 D 29 A 25

Head to head 10% active weight

H 29 D 14 A 57

Goal trend 5% active weight

H 48 D 27 A 25

Forecast audit Read-only evidence timeline

Immutable forecast audit

What the model knew — and when

  1. 01Inputs capturedVerified evidence was stored with the forecast.
  2. 02Preview captured2026-10-18T02:10:55.361Z / 2026-10-15.1
  3. 03Match startedScheduled for 2026-10-18T03:00:00Z
  4. 04Final result recordedPending match completion

Refreshable pre-match previewThis preview may refresh as verified inputs change before kick-off.

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